Applying statistics in MMA is not as easy as other sports like football or basketball, but it can be a useful tool when researching your wagers or constructing DFS lineups. Every fight brings a different set of variables into the equation so you can’t just blindly tail data. Knowing each fighter’s strengths and weaknesses will be key to applying the data properly.
As more events happen throughout 2022, I’ll continue to gather all the relevant data and update the statistics. January was a fairly slow month for the UFC with only two events. So far there’s been a total of 21 fights with 14 going to decision, 13 being unanimous decisions. It’s a small sample size, but 67% of this year’s fights have gone to decision. On the other hand, 7 fights have ended by knockout at a 33% clip. All 7 fights have finished in the first round with 4 by knockout and 3 by submission.
One of the biggest talking points in the MMA gambling community has been the Dana White’s Contender Series fade. The hype on some of these prospects has been justified, but some has not. I’m going to focus only on the win-loss record of Contender Series fighters in their official UFC debuts in 2022. In the two cards this year, 8 Contender Series alums have made their debuts, going 4-4. Jailton Almeida and Chidi Njokuani will make their official UFC debuts on Saturday.
Another interesting trend is the frequency in which UFC main events have gone to decision. Both main events this year have gone to decision, continuing the trend last year where 9 fights out of 12 went to decision since UFC 266 in September. Right now this Saturday’s main event between Sean Strickland vs. Jack Hermansson sits at even money to go the distance.